Iranian Official Predicts Possible Military Coup

Top Secret CIA Bulletin: June 12, 1952


Arash Norouzi

The Mossadegh Project | April 13, 2025                    


CIA Documents on Iran, Mossadegh, 1953 Coup | 1951-1954

This excerpt from a CIA bulletin cited the words of Iranian diplomat Abol Kasim Panahi. Stationed at Iran’s consulate in India for years, he was also in the foreign ministry of Ali Razmara’s government (at which time he opposed oil nationalization). After the 1953 coup, he became Minister of Labor in Fazlollah Zahedi’s cabinet. He died in 1954.

CIA Documents | IRAN 1951-1978




June 12, 1952

CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET


NEAR EAST - AFRICA


6. Iranian official predicts possible military coup:

[REDACTED BOX HERE] Prime Minister Mossadeq does not have the support of the Iranian public, the Senate, Majlis or the Shah, former Iranian UN representative Abul Panahi told the American Ambassador [Loy Henderson] on 6 June. As a result of growing alarm over the financial crisis, Mossadeq will no longer be tolerated.

Panahi stated that if the Shah did not soon replace the Prime Minister, a military coup would take place. He added that a discussion of the possibility of a coup was even then taking place, but that he had refused to attend.

Comment: Prime Minister Mossadeq’s position has appreciably weakened during the last two months. There is no firm evidence, however, that his control of the government is as yet seriously threatened or that the Shah is ready to take action against him.

While current press reports of an attempted army coup support Panahi’s account of army intrigue against the Prime Minister, there is no evidence that the army leadership is either willing or able to carry out a successful coup without the Shah’s approval.


• Declassified by the Central Intelligence Agency on October 15, 2003. [Annotations by Arash Norouzi]






Search MohammadMossadegh.com



Related links:

Current Strength of the Tudeh Party In Iran (Sept. 13, 1951)

British Foreign Office Statement on Breakdown of Iran Oil Talks

National Intelligence Digest | CIA on Iran, Oil (Nov. 1, 1952)



MOSSADEGH t-shirts — “If I sit silently, I have sinned”

Facebook  Twitter  YouTube  Tumblr   Instagram